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Modeling financial analysts' decision making via the pragmatics and semantics of earnings calls

机译:通过收益电话的语用和语义为财务分析师的决策建模

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Every fiscal quarter, companies hold earnings calls in which company executives respond to questions from analysts. After these calls, analysts often change their price target recommendations, which are used in equity research reports to help investors make decisions. In this paper, we examine analysts' decision making behavior as it pertains to the language content of earnings calls. We identify a set of 20 pragmatic features of analysts" questions which we correlate with analysts" pre-call investor recommendations. We also analyze the degree to which semantic and pragmatic features from an earnings call complement market data in predicting analysts' post-call changes in price targets. Our results show that earnings calls are moderately predictive of analysts' decisions even though these decisions are influenced by a number of other factors including private communication with company executives and market conditions. A breakdown of model errors indicates disparate performance on calls from different market sectors.
机译:在每个财政季度中,公司都会召开盈余电话会议,公司高管在其中回答分析师的问题。接到这些电话之后,分析师通常会更改其价格目标建议,这些建议会在股票研究报告中用于帮助投资者做出决策。在本文中,我们研究了与收益电话的语言内容有关的分析师的决策行为。我们确定了分析师问题的20个实用特征集,这些问题与分析师的电话前投资者建议相关。我们还分析了来自收益电话会议的语义和语用功能补充市场数据的程度,以预测分析师目标电话会议后的价格变化。我们的结果表明,尽管这些决定受许多其他因素(包括与公司高管之间的私人沟通和市场状况)的影响,但业绩电话会议仍能适当预测分析师的决定。模型错误的细分表明来自不同市场部门的呼叫在性能上截然不同。

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