Relationships Between Access to Information and The Effect of The Terrorist Behavior

摘要

This paper has arisen from the observation that access to information and other resources can strongly influence the frequency and effect of terrorist accidents. The goal of the paper is to create a simulation model for investigating the sensitivity of the probability of the population survival to small changes in availability of resources and information. If small changes in the last two parameters can result in disastrous consequences, then the balance issue must be treated very carefully, and it is better to err in the side of being more restrictive. In the case when the balance is stable, it can be handled with less care and restrictions, resulting in a trial and error process. A model for simulating relationships between access to resources and possibility of termination of the population is presented. The model comprises an agent world, its properties, interactions, and a world life cycle algorithm. As the "right" properties and interactions of the model are a question of experimentation, the model is introduced in two steps: a general model and a specific sub-model. Preliminary analysis of results received on several sub-model implementations demonstrate that in certain cases the relationship between the level of access to information and the overall aggressiveness value implying the end of population may have a stepwise character with the related consequences.