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A Reliability Verification Test Model Based on Hybrid Bayesian Prior Distribution

机译:基于混合贝叶斯先验分布的可靠性验证测试模型

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Using advantages of priori Bayesian method, a reliability verification test method based on Hybrid Bayesian Prior Distribution was brought forward. The prior distribution of unknown parameters can be obtained by using conjugate prior distribution method. Prior moment method and Maximum entropy method were used respectively to calculate two different groups of parameters, and then two different prior distributions can be obtained. Then confidence factors of the two prior distributions were determined by using the second category maximum likelihood method, and the final distribution can be got by integrating there two group of parameters according to their weight. Instance proved that the prior distribution obtained by this method is more accurate, and can fit better with the real distribution.
机译:利用先验贝叶斯方法的优点,提出了一种基于混合贝叶斯先验分布的可靠性验证测试方法。未知参数的先验分布可以通过使用共轭先验分布方法获得。分别使用先验矩法和最大熵法计算两组不同的参数,然后可以得到两种不同的先验分布。然后使用第二类最大似然法确定两个先验分布的置信度,然后根据权重对两组参数进行积分得到最终分布。实例证明,该方法得到的先验分布更加准确,可以更好地拟合实际分布。

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