The Bayesian Reliability Assessment and Prediction for Radar System Based on New Dirichlet Prior Distribution

摘要

Abstract. This article studies on Bayesian reliability growth models of complex system based on new Dirichlet prior distribution when the sample of system is small. The model briefly describes expert experience as uniform distribution, then equivalent general Beta distribution of uniform distribution can be solved by optimization method when prior parameters are variables, mean is constraint condition, and variance is regarding as the optimization objective. The optimization method solves the pr.