Generation quantity predicting device, power generation prediction system, power generation prediction method and power generation prediction program

摘要

To provide a power generation amount prediction device, a power generation amount prediction system, a power generation amount prediction method, and a power generation amount prediction program that can improve the accuracy in predicting the amount of power generation without handling various types of data.SOLUTION: A power generation amount prediction device 11 has a power generation amount/insolation amount actual insolation amount classification unit 1101, a power generation efficiency calculation/determination unit 1102, a power generation efficiency coefficient calculation unit 1103, a predicted insolation amount category determination unit 1104, and a power generation amount prediction unit 1105. The power generation amount/insolation amount actual insolation amount classification unit classifies a set of actual insolation amount values into a plurality of insolation amount categories. The power generation efficiency calculation/determination unit acquires power generation efficiency for each of the actual insolation amount values. The power generation efficiency coefficient calculation unit acquires a coefficient for each of the insolation amount categories on the basis of the power generation efficiency. The predicted insolation amount category determination unit identifies an insolation amount category to which the insolation amount category containing an insolation amount prediction value belongs. The power generation amount prediction unit acquires a power generation amount prediction value on the basis of the insolation amount prediction value and the coefficient of the insolation amount category containing the insolation amount prediction value.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1