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Value and size investment strategies: evidence from the cross-section of returns in the South African equity market

机译:价值和规模投资策略:来自南非股票市场回报横截面的证据

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摘要

Value and size related equity investment strategies are supported by a large body of empirical research that shows a persistent premium, both longitudinally and crosssectionally. However, the competing rational and behavioural finance explanations for the success of these strategies are a subject of debate. The rational explanation is that the premium earned on value shares or shares of small companies can be attributed to higher risk. Behaviouralists argue that such shares are not riskier and attribute the premium to cognitive errors and biases in human decision making. The purpose of this study is to determine, firstly, whether the value and size premium exist in South Africa during the period July 2006 to June 2012, which includes one of the worst equity market crises in history. Secondly, this study sets out to determine whether the premium earned on value and size strategies are adequately explained by the principles of rational finance theory. To provide evidence regarding the existence of the value premium and size effect, returns are analysed, cross-sectionally, on portfolios of shares sorted by value and size. For evidence of a rational explanation, returns are regressed on value and size variables, and the relative riskiness of value and small companies is analysed. The results show evidence of a value premium in portfolios of small companies, but not big companies. The size effect is found not to be statistically significant. While regressions do show significant relationships between value and size variables and returns, these variables are found not to be associated with higher levels of risk. The conclusion is that the evidence does not support a rational, risk based explanation of the returns
机译:与价值和规模相关的股权投资策略得到大量实证研究的支持,这些研究在纵向和横向都显示出持续的溢价。但是,对于这些策略的成功,在理性和行为金融学方面的相互竞争的解释是一个争论的话题。合理的解释是,价值股份或小公司股份所赚取的溢价可归因于较高的风险。行为主义者认为,此类股份没有风险,并将溢价归因于认知错误和人类决策中的偏见。这项研究的目的是首先确定2006年7月至2012年6月期间南非是否存在价值和规模溢价,其中包括历史上最严重的股市危机之一。其次,本研究着手确定理性金融理论的原​​理是否充分解释了价值和规模策略所赚取的保费。为了提供有关存在价值溢价和规模效应的证据,将对按价值和规模分类的股票投资组合进行横断面分析。为了提供合理解释的证据,对价值和规模变量进行了回归分析,并分析了价值与小公司的相对风险。结果表明,小公司(而非大公司)的投资组合具有价值溢价的证据。发现尺寸效应在统计学上不显着。尽管回归确实显示了价值和规模变量与收益之间的显着关系,但发现这些变量与较高风险水平无关。结论是,证据不支持对收益进行理性的,基于风险的解释

著录项

  • 作者

    Barnard Kevin John;

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  • 年度 2013
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 English
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