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Multiparameter Models of Innovation Diffusion on Complex Networks

机译:复杂网络上创新扩散的多参数模型

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摘要

A model, applicable to a range of innovation diffusion applications with a strong peer-to-peer component, is developed and studied, along with methods for its investigation and analysis. A particular application is to individual households deciding whether to install an energy efficiency measure in their home. The model represents these individuals as nodes on a network, each with a variable representing their current state of adoption of the innovation. The motivation to adopt is composed of three terms, representing personal preference, an average of each individual's network neighbors' states, and a system average, which is a measure of the current social trend. The adoption state of a node changes if a weighted linear combination of these factors exceeds some threshold. Numerical simulations have been carried out, computing the average uptake after a sufficient number of time-steps over many randomizations at all model parameter values, on various network topologies, including random (Erdos-Renyi), small world (Watts-Strogatz), and (Newman) highly clustered, community-based networks. An analytical and probabilistic approach has been developed to account for the observed behavior, which explains the results of the numerical calculations.
机译:开发并研究了一种模型,该模型适用于具有强大的对等组件的一系列创新扩散应用程序,并提供了其调查和分析方法。一种特殊的应用是决定是否在家庭中安装节能措施的单个家庭。该模型将这些人表示为网络上的节点,每个人都有一个变量,表示他们当前采用创新的状态。采用动机由三个术语组成,分别代表个人喜好,每个人的网络邻居状态的平均值和系统平均值,它是衡量当前社会趋势的标准。如果这些因素的加权线性组合超过某个阈值,则节点的采用状态会更改。已经进行了数值模拟,在各种网络拓扑结构(包括随机(Erdos-Renyi),小世界(Watts-Strogatz))和各种网络拓扑结构上,在所有模型参数值的许多随机化过程中,经过足够数量的时间步长后,计算平均摄入量(Newman)高度集群的基于社区的网络。已经开发出一种分析和概率方法来解释观察到的行为,该行为解释了数值计算的结果。

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