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Australia and the Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Initiative: difficult times for disarmament diplomacy

机译:澳大利亚和不扩散与裁军倡议:裁军外交的艰难时期

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摘要

Australia recognises the critical role that the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons plays in preventing uncontrolled proliferation and promoting disarmament, and upholding the treaty has long been a core foreign policy goal. However Australiau27s disarmament diplomacy has hit a difficult patch. This paper proposes a way forward, focusing primarily on the Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Initiative.Nuclear issues have been grabbing the international headlines in recent months, amid renewed concern over the nuclear defiance of North Korea and Iran and the international community’s inability to mount an effective response. Onlookers could be forgiven for thinking that the nonproliferation regime is moribund where difficult cases are concerned: it has responded too little and too late to repeated provocations, diplomatic initiatives have so far failed, and ideas for implementing new, more effective punitive measures have petered out. In these circumstances, one can justifiably question why so much time and resources are committed to upholding the 1968 Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT).The answer is that even though it’s deeply flawed and the product of a bygone era, the NPT continues to play a crucial stabilising role in the international system. Most states believe a weak NPT’s better than none at all because, although the treaty hasn’t stopped the spread of nuclear weapons, it has significantly hindered proliferation. Moreover, it’s facilitated disarmament between states that were once engaged in dangerous nuclear arms races, and it continues to provide political momentum for nuclear reductions. Whatever their views on the ethics of nuclear possession, even the most ardent supporters of nuclear deterrence accept that preventing the uncontrolled spread of nuclear weapons is a common good. That position is based on the logic that the more nuclear weapons there are, the more likely it is that they’ll be used again, whether by accident or intent.Australia recognises the critical role that the NPT plays in preventing uncontrolled proliferation and promoting disarmament, and upholding the treaty has long been a core foreign policy goal. As Gary Quinlan, Australia’s permanent representative to the UN, stated recently, ‘Australia is always willing to do its share of the work to elevate the game and make the world more stable and secure, in order to save ourselves from ourselves.’ But, while the record of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade on this front is impressive, its disarmament diplomacy has hit a difficult patch and there’s a strong possibility that its current agenda will fail unless it’s adapted.This paper examines Australia’s difficulties in this area, and proposes a way forward for the next government. It focuses primarily on the goals and activities of the Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Initiative (NPDI), which was launched at the United Nations in September 2010. This diplomatic initiative has brought together the foreign ministers of Australia, Canada, Chile, Germany, Japan, Mexico, the Netherlands, Poland, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in a campaign to bolster the NPT by promoting progress in nuclear disarmament and nonproliferation at a time when international tensions are rising, proliferation pressures are growing, and momentum for nuclear arms reductions is dissipating. In many ways, these developments make the role of the coalition more crucial than ever. But in order to have impact, the NPDI needs a realistic agenda that draws on the experience of its members, who in turn need to be seen to be sincerely committed to the goals they’re advocating. At the moment, it’s questionable whether that’s the case. The coalition needs to rethink its short‑term goals and strategy.
机译:澳大利亚认识到《不扩散核武器条约》在防止不受控制的扩散和促进裁军方面所起的关键作用,坚持条约一直是外交政策的核心目标。但是澳大利亚的裁军外交遇到了困难。本文提出了一条前进的方向,主要侧重于《不扩散与裁军倡议》。近几个月来,由于对北朝鲜和伊朗的核蔑视以及国际社会无力解决核问题再次引起关注,核问题已成为国际头条新闻。有效的反应。可以想到的是,在涉及到困难案件的情况下,不扩散制度是垂死的,围观者是可以原谅的:它对反复挑衅的反应太少和太迟,外交举措迄今失败了,实施新的,更有效的惩罚措施的想法逐渐消失了。 。在这种情况下,有人可以合理地质疑,为什么要花那么多的时间和资源来维护1968年的《不扩散核武器条约》(NPT)。答案是,尽管它存在严重缺陷,并且是过去时代的产物, 《不扩散核武器条约》继续在国际体系中发挥关键的稳定作用。大多数国家认为,《不扩散核武器条约》的薄弱总比没有强。这是因为,尽管该条约并未阻止核武器的扩散,但已大大阻碍了核扩散。此外,它促进了曾经从事危险核军备竞赛的国家之间的裁军,并继续为减少核武器提供政治动力。无论他们对核拥有的伦理学有何看法,即使是最热情的核威慑支持者也都认为,防止不受控制的核武器扩散是一项共同的利益。这种立场是基于这样的逻辑,即核武器越多,无论是出于偶然还是出于意图,它们都将有可能再次被使用。澳大利亚认识到《不扩散核武器条约》在防止不受控制的扩散和促进裁军方面的关键作用,坚持条约一直是外交政策的核心目标。正如澳大利亚常驻联合国代表加里·昆兰(Gary Quinlan)最近指出的那样:“澳大利亚始终愿意为提高游戏水平,使世界更加稳定和安全做出自己的贡献,以使自己脱离自我。”但是,尽管外交和贸易部在这方面的记录令人印象深刻,但其裁军外交遇到了困难,除非修改,否则其当前议程很可能会失败。本文考察了澳大利亚在这一领域的困难,以及提出下一届政府的前进方向。它主要关注于2010年9月在联合国发起的不扩散与裁军倡议(NPDI)的目标和活动。该外交倡议召集了澳大利亚,加拿大,智利,德国,日本的外交部长。墨西哥,荷兰,波兰,土耳其和阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)开展的一项运动,以在国际紧张局势加剧,扩散压力不断增加以及核势头发展之际促进核裁军和不扩散方面的进展减少武器的现象正在消散。在许多方面,这些事态发展使联盟的作用比以往任何时候都更加重要。但是,为了产生影响,NPDI需要一个切合实际的议程,并要借鉴其成员的经验,而这些成员又应被视为真诚地致力于他们所倡导的目标。目前,是否存在这种情况值得怀疑。联盟需要重新考虑其短期目标和战略。

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    Tanya Ogilvie-White;

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  • 年度 2013
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