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Impact of the 2007/2008 global financial crisis on the stock market in Nigeria

机译:2007/2008年全球金融危机对尼日利亚股市的影响

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摘要

The convergence of global economy makes all countries and all markets sensible to the happenings in other countries (the contagious effect). The 2008 global financial crisis that had its origin from USA was alleged to have had varying degree of impacts on different capital markets in various countries. This paper investigated the impact of the 2007/2008 global financial crisis on the Nigerian capital market. Monthly time series data from January 2006 to December 2009. All Share Index (ASI) was used as proxy for the performance of the Nigerian Capital market, while Credit to the Private Sector (CPS), Price of Crude Oil (POIL), Money Supply (MS) and Dow Jonews Industrial Average (DJIA) were the set of explanatory variables used to ascertain the effects of the crisis on the capital market in Nigeria. The paper employed the Vector Error Correction (VEC)model for the analysis. Based on the estimated Cointegration and the VEC analyses, the paper found that the global finanancial crisis adverstly and significantly affected the Nigerian capital market both in the shortrun and long run. This was clearly evidenced by the fact that POIL slumped to a record low level, MS equally decreased and the CPS contracted thereby reducing the idle balances which could have been invested in stocks. All these are clear evidences of the crisis on the performance of the Nigerian capital market. Hence the global financial crisis of 2007/2008 was no respecter of any economy, eventhough some writers in Nigeria were quick in concluding that the Nigerian financial sector was insulated and robust, but it was not long after the economy was brought to its knees as the stock market in Nigeria crashed leading to a valuable lost of capital assets and investments.
机译:全球经济的融合使所有国家和所有市场对其他国家的事态敏感(传染性影响)。据称起源于美国的2008年全球金融危机对各国不同的资本市场产生了不同程度的影响。本文调查了2007/2008年全球金融危机对尼日利亚资本市场的影响。 2006年1月至2009年12月的每月时间序列数据。所有股票指数(ASI)均被用作代表尼日利亚资本市场的表现,而对私人部门的信贷(CPS),原油价格(POIL),货币供应量(MS)和道琼斯工业平均指数(DJIA)是用来确定危机对尼日利亚资本市场的影响的一组解释变量。本文采用矢量误差校正(VEC)模型进行分析。基于估计的协整性和VEC分析,该论文发现全球金融危机不利地影响了尼日利亚的资本市场,无论是短期还是长期。 POIL跌至创纪录的低位,MS均下降,CPS收缩,从而减少了本可以投资于股票的闲置余额,这一事实得到了明显的证明。所有这些都是尼日利亚资本市场表现危机的明确证据。因此,尽管尼日利亚的一些作家很快得出结论,尼日利亚的金融部门是绝缘的和强劲的,但2007/2008年的全球金融危机并不算得上任何经济体,但是不久之后,经济就崩溃了。尼日利亚的股票市场崩溃导致资本资产和投资大量损失。

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    Njiforti Peter;

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  • 年度 2015
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