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Structural disparities in carbon dioxide consumption and trade in the world economy

机译:二氧化碳消费与世界经济贸易的结构差异

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摘要

Social scientists have long argued that developed countries are more and more responsible for climate change because they externalise pollution to less developed countries. This paper offers a way to quantify climate responsibility by calculating carbon footprints and carbon balances between regions by means of an input-output analysis. We find that regions in the center of the world economy are increasingly consuming CO2 which was emitted in the periphery. Developed countries exhibit a large emission balance deficit with the less developed economies. Furthermore, we decompose carbon footprint developments between 1995 and 2007 into three effects: technical progress, shifts in the global value chain and increasing final demand. Our results show that the effect of technical progress is overcompensated by the effect of increased consumption and value chain shifts. Footprint growth in the center is strongly linked to additional pollution and technical development in the periphery. These findings challenge the prevailing view of the potential of modernisation and globalisation with regard to climate change.
机译:社会科学家长期以来一直在争辩说,发达国家对气候变化负有越来越大的责任,因为它们将污染外部化到欠发达国家。本文提供了一种通过投入产出分析计算区域之间的碳足迹和碳平衡来量化气候责任的方法。我们发现,世界经济中心的地区正在消耗越来越多的二氧化碳,这些二氧化碳是从外围排放的。发达国家与欠发达经济体相比,排放平衡赤字很大。此外,我们将1995年至2007年的碳足迹发展分解为三个影响:技术进步,全球价值链的变化和最终需求的增加。我们的结果表明,技术进步的影响被消费增加和价值链转移的影响过度补偿。中心地区的足迹增长与周边地区的额外污染和技术发展密切相关。这些发现挑战了关于气候变化现代化和全球化潜力的主流观点。

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