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Anchor, float or abandon ship: Exchange rate regimes for the acceccion countries

机译:锚,浮动或弃船:加入国的汇率制度

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摘要

This paper investigates the appropriate exchange rate regimes, both prior to and following European Union accession, for those former centrally planned Central and Eastern European countries that are currently candidates for full membership in the European Union (1). The exchange rate regime is a key determinant of a countryu92s macroeconomic stability, which is in turn a key determinant of the investment climate. The choice of exchange rate regime is therefore of great relevance to all who are interested in the transition process. It now seems likely that as many as eight out of the ten candidate countries from the EBRDu92s region of operations will become EU members by early 2004, in time to participate in the EU Parliamentary elections of June 2004. Further delays beyond 2004 are, however, certainly possible, as enlargement has effectively become contingent on the success of internal reforms in the EU. Inadequate reforms of European institutions may also pose obstacles to successful EU candidates that wish to join European Monetary Union (EMU) at an early date. The body making monetary policy in the European Central Bank (ECB) is the Governing Council. It currently has 18 members - six Executive Board members and 12 national central bank governors, one for each of the 12 EMU member countries. Formally, all 18 members have equal weight in the decision making process. Eighteen members are already too many from the point of view of effective discussion, deliberation and collective decision-making. Enlarging an unreformed European Central Bank (ECB) to include ten new members would turn the current 18 member ECB Governing Council into an unwieldy, indeed unmanageable group (2).
机译:本文研究了在加入欧盟之前和之后适当的汇率制度,适用于那些先前曾计划中欧和东欧国家,这些国家目前是欧盟正式成员的候选人(1)。汇率制度是一国宏观经济稳定的关键决定因素,而这反过来又是投资环境的关键决定因素。因此,汇率制度的选择与所有对过渡过程感兴趣的人都息息相关。现在看来,来自欧洲复兴开发银行业务区域的十个候选国家中,多达八个可能会在2004年初成为欧盟成员国,以便及时参加2004年6月的欧盟议会选举。但是,当然有可能,因为扩大实际上取决于欧盟内部改革的成功。对欧洲机构的不充分改革也可能对希望早日加入欧洲货币联盟(EMU)的成功欧盟候选人构成障碍。欧洲中央银行(ECB)制定货币政策的机构是理事会。目前,它有18个成员-6个执行委员会成员和12个国家中央银行行长,在12个EMU成员国中每个都有一个。正式地,所有18名成员在决策过程中都具有同等的权重。从有效讨论,审议和集体决策的角度来看,已有18名成员。扩大未改革的欧洲中央银行(ECB)使其包括十个新成员,将使现有的18个成员的ECB理事会变成一个笨拙,的确难以管理的集团(2)。

著录项

  • 作者

    Buiter Willem; Grafe Clemens;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2002
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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