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The accuracy of determining speeding directly from mass crash data and using the NSW Centre for Road Safety method

机译:直接从大规模碰撞数据确定超速并使用新南威尔士州道路安全中心方法的准确性

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摘要

Exceeding the posted speed limit, or speeding, is generally accepted as a major cause of road crashes and in particular fatal crashes. However, the actual proportion of crashes in which one or more vehicles was speeding is not easily determined. The exact travelling speed of a vehicle prior to a crash can only be determined by detailed crash reconstruction. Such a reconstruction is considered beyond the scope of regular traffic police who record the majority of the crash data that makes up the mass crash databases such as the South Australian Traffic Accident Reporting System (TARS). It is therefore thought that speeding is underreported in the mass crash data. A method was developed by NSW to identify, from mass data, crashes that involved speeding as a factor. This method was subsequently used by other states, including South Australia. The Centre for Automotive Safety Research conducts the crash reconstructions required to determine speed as part of its at-scene in-depth crash investigation work. This paper compares the actual proportion of speeding crashes in the most recent set of at-scene in-depth crash investigation cases with that found by using the mass data and the method developed by the NSW Centre for Road Safety. It was found that the error ‘excessive speed’ recorded in the TARS database is not accurate in identifying crashes where a vehicle was speeding. The NSW Centre for Road Safety method of determining speeding in crashes was also found to lack accuracy, though it was more accurate than simply relying on the error ‘excessive speed’ in the TARS database.
机译:超过规定的速度限制或超速,通常被认为是道路撞车,尤其是致命撞车的主要原因。但是,不容易确定一辆或多辆汽车超速行驶的实际碰撞比例。发生碰撞之前,车辆的确切行驶速度只能通过详细的碰撞重建来确定。这种重建被认为超出了常规交通警察的范围,常规交通警察记录了构成大规模碰撞数据库的大部分碰撞数据,例如南澳大利亚州交通事故报告系统(TARS)。因此,可以认为在整体碰撞数据中,速度报告不足。新南威尔士州开发了一种方法,可以从海量数据中识别出与超速有关的撞车事故。此方法随后被包括南澳大利亚在内的其他州使用。汽车安全研究中心在现场深度碰撞调查工作中进行了确定速度所需的碰撞重建。本文将最新的现场深度事故调查案例中超速碰撞的实际比例与通过使用大规模数据和新南威尔士州道路安全中心开发的方法发现的案例进行了比较。发现在TARS数据库中记录的错误“速度过高”在识别车辆超速时的碰撞方面并不准确。新南威尔士州道路安全中心确定碰撞超速的方法也缺乏准确性,尽管它比仅仅依靠TARS数据库中的错误“超速”更为准确。

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    Doecke S.; Kloeden C.;

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