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L'économie du nucléaire revisitée - Leçons de l'apprentissage d'une technologie complexe par des accidents majeurs

机译:重新审视核经济-通过重大事故学习复杂技术的经验教训

摘要

The Fukushima accident raises again the issue of the social and economic viability of nuclear technology. To re-evaluate this viability, we analyse the past process of internalisation of external costs of nuclear energy, which present the specificities to be chanted by accidents and has had a constant effect of complexification. This process has provoked a de-organisation of the classical learning process reflected in constant cost increases and the change of social preferences, to end up by the lack of competitiveness before climate policies. Independent institutions of safety regulation have become essential elements of the social embeddedness of nuclear technology at the expense of technology stability and standardization, condition of its competitiveness. In this perspective, the paper argues that the new sequence of social costs' internalization opened by Fukushima will have limited effects on costs, because of anterior steps of safety improvements. Nuclear technology complexification reaches its asymptote : it is being to overcome the challenge of "learning by major accidents". On the other hand nuclear institutions must be re-designed in such a way that it could guarantee maximum safety records and minimum residual risks by going to the other root of the safety issue, the degree of independence and capabilities of the safety authorities in every country, what cannot be decreed. It is nevertheless at this price that could be preserved the global public good of the social acceptance of nuclear technology by limiting drastically chance of new accidents.
机译:福岛事故再次提出了核技术的社会和经济可行性问题。为了重新评估这种可行性,我们分析了核能外部成本内部化的过去过程,该过程提出了事故引发的特殊性,并不断产生复杂化的影响。这一过程导致了经典学习过程的混乱,这反映了不断增加的成本和社会偏好的变化,最终导致在采取气候政策之前缺乏竞争力。独立的安全监管机构已经成为核技术社会嵌入的基本要素,但以牺牲技术稳定性和标准化以及其竞争力为条件。从这个角度来看,本文认为,由于安全改进的前期步骤,福岛岛提出的新的社会成本内部化顺序将对成本产生有限的影响。核技术的复杂性达到了渐近线:正在克服“重大事故学习”的挑战。另一方面,必须对核机构进行重新设计,使其能够通过将安全问题的另一个根源,每个国家的安全当局的独立程度和能力,确保最大的安全记录和最小的残留风险。 ,什么是不可裁定的。但是,以此价格,可以通过极大地限制新事故的发生,来维护全球对核技术的社会接受的公共利益。

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    Finon Dominique;

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  • 年度 2012
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 fr
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