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The potential of carbon dioxide emission reductions in German commercial transport by electric vehicles

机译:电动汽车在德国商业运输中减少二氧化碳排放的潜力

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摘要

Climate change is a serious challenge of today. In order to reach the ambiguous mitigation scenarios for greenhouse gases, strong efforts are to be undertaken. Electric vehicles are seen as a potential mean to reduce emissions and energy import dependencies of most western societies. So far, the progress toward more electric vehicles in individual passenger transport is still slow. The objective to increase the share of electric vehicles of many national governments seems to be rather ambitious. In commercial transport, mileage is usually higher, trips are planned more precisely, and driving patterns are more regular than those of private vehicles. With these and other promising factors, we assume a high potential of electric vehicles in commercial transport. Therefore, we analyze in this paper the commercial transport in Germany and especially the large share of light commercial vehicles in order to make these potentials explicit. Based on German survey data, we analyze the heterogeneous German economic sectors with top-down statistical values like daily distance categories and bottom-up values like driving and parking behaviors. By way of example, German postal services are evaluated in detail, which leads to an electrification potential of between 60,750 and 105,550 vehicles. In case of “green” electricity for charging, postal services can avoid up to 882,000 tCO2/a , which is about 40–70 %.
机译:气候变化是当今的严峻挑战。为了达到减少温室气体排放的模棱两可的方案,将作出巨大的努力。电动汽车被认为是减少大多数西方社会排放和能源进口依赖的潜在手段。迄今为止,在个人客运中向更多的电动汽车发展的进展仍然很缓慢。增加许多国家政府的电动汽车份额的目标似乎是雄心勃勃的。在商业运输中,里程数通常比私家车要高,旅行计划得更精确,驾驶方式也要更规律。有了这些和其他有希望的因素,我们认为电动汽车在商业运输中具有很高的潜力。因此,在本文中,我们分析了德国的商业运输,尤其是轻型商用车的大部分份额,以明确这些潜力。根据德国的调查数据,我们用自上而下的统计值(如每日距离类别)和自下而上的值(如驾驶和停车行为)分析德国的不同经济部门。例如,对德国邮政进行了详细评估,这使60,750到105,550辆汽车的电气化潜力得以实现。如果使用“绿色”电力进行充电,邮政可以避免高达882,000 tCO2 / a的排放量,约为40–70%。

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