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Three Essays on the Incentives and Design of Survey Techniques

机译:激励论与调查技术设计三论

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摘要

My dissertation focuses on the design and incentives of survey techniques. As many institutions use surveys to allocate funding or determine policy, ensuring surveys provide accurate information is essential. Though incentives certainly play a role in whether survey participants report information truthfully, economists have largely overlooked the issue while statisticians tend to focus on estimators without directly modeling incentive constraints. One of the chapters models and analyzes the incentives of a commonly used survey technique, randomized response, while the other two chapters of my dissertation design two response techniques which improve upon others found in the literature by obtaining more precise estimates and/or incentivizing participants better. In Chapter One "A Game Theoretic Analysis of the Randomized Response Technique," I explicitly model the decision of participants to truthfully respond in the randomized response survey as a game. Randomized response techniques are used to determine the proportion of a population that belongs to a stigmatized group and introduce noise so the surveyor cannot perfectly infer whether a participant belongs to a stigmatized group, regardless of how a participant responds. The interviewer wants to reduce noise as much as possible while maintaining enough noise to ensure participants respond truthfully. Unlike prior literature, I find that the incentives of a participant depend on the number of participants; therefore, the amount of noise required under randomized response decreases when the number of participants increases as adding respondents relaxes truth-telling constraints. However, adding respondents only relaxes incentive constraints to a limit, so some noise remains even when there are a large number of participants. I improve upon the original randomized response technique in two ways in Chapter 2: "Eliciting Private Information using Correlation: A Modification of Randomized Response." In standard randomized response techniques, participants receive questions independently by using a randomization device such as a die. With my technique, participants receive perfectly correlated questions which reduces the variance of the surveyor's estimator while still protecting the privacy of the subjects. Unlike with the randomized response technique, adding correlation allows the surveyor to use a dominant strategy mechanism though it provides limited information. In addition to correlation, my technique provides the surveyor with private information on the distribution of questions asked. Because of the private information, participants become more uncertain of which question is more associated with the stigmatizing characteristic giving them a stronger incentive to respond truthfully. My final chapter, Chapter 3 "A Response Technique with Dominant Strategies in Forced Responses," improves upon a randomized response technique commonly used in practice. In the forced response technique, a fraction of survey participants are directly asked whether they belong to the stigmatizing group while the remaining participants either simply state "yes" or "no" according to a privately observed command. Unlike the original randomized response technique, the surveyor must worry whether participants obey the command in addition to answering truthfully. Psychologically, participants may feel more inclined to disobey than to lie. Therefore, I design a technique where obeying the command is a dominant strategy by providing the surveyor with private information. The paper then discusses a more general response technique with private information and suggests restrictions on the mechanisms to ensure the surveyor does not have an incentive to try to "trick" respondents into believing they have more privacy protection than they actually do. The chapter concludes with a discussion on privacy measures.
机译:本文主要研究调查技术的设计和激励。由于许多机构使用调查来分配资金或确定政策,因此确保调查提供准确的信息至关重要。尽管激励措施确实在受访者是否真实地报告信息方面起着一定作用,但经济学家在很大程度上忽略了这一问题,而统计学家则倾向于将重点放在估计量上,而没有直接建立激励约束模型。其中一章模拟并分析了一种常用调查技术(随机响应)的诱因,而本论文的另两章则设计了两种响应技术,它们通过获得更精确的估计值和/或更好地激励参与者来改善文献中的其他响应技术。 。在第一章“随机反应技术的博弈论分析”中,我明确地模拟了参与者在随机反应调查中如实进行真实反应的决策。随机响应技术用于确定属于受污名化群体的人口比例并引入噪声,因此无论参与者如何回应,调查员都无法完美地推断出参与者是否属于受污名化群体。采访者希望尽可能减少噪音,同时保持足够的噪音以确保参与者如实反映。与以前的文献不同,我发现参与者的动机取决于参与者的数量。因此,当参与者的数量随着增加的受访者放松了讲真相的约束而增加时,随机响应下所需的噪声量会减少。但是,添加受访者只会将激励约束放宽到一个极限,因此即使有大量参与者,也会有些噪音。我将在第2章:“使用关联来消除私人信息:随机响应的修改”中以两种方式改进原始的随机响应技术。在标准的随机响应技术中,参与者通过使用诸如骰子的随机设备独立地接收问题。通过我的技术,参与者可以收到完全相关的问题,从而减少了测量员的估计量的方差,同时仍然保护了受试者的隐私。与随机响应技术不同,增加相关性虽然可以提供有限的信息,但允许调查员使用主导策略机制。除了相关性,我的技术还为验船师提供有关所问问题分布的私人信息。由于有私人信息,参与者变得更加不确定哪个问题与带有污名化的特征更相关,从而使他们更有力地如实回答。我的最后一章是第3章“在强制响应中具有主要策略的响应技术”,它对实践中通常使用的随机响应技术进行了改进。在强制响应技术中,直接询问一部分调查参与者是否属于污名化群体,而其余参与者根据私下观察到的命令简单地说“是”或“否”。与原始的随机响应技术不同,测量员除了要真实回答外,还必须担心参与者是否遵守命令。从心理上讲,参与者可能更倾向于违抗而不是说谎。因此,我设计了一种技术,其中通过向测量师提供私人信息来遵守命令是主要策略。然后,论文讨论了一种具有私人信息的更通用的应对技术,并提出了一些机制上的限制,以确保调查员没有动力诱使“诱骗”受访者相信他们比实际拥有更多的隐私保护。本章最后讨论了隐私措施。

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    Flannery Timothy;

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  • 年度 2015
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