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Short-Term prediction of vehicle occupancy in Advanced Public Transportation Information Systems (APTIS)

机译:高级公共交通信息系统(APTIS)中车辆占用的短期预测

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摘要

Most ITS applications to transit systems are oriented to the efficientudmanagement of Public Transportation (PT) operator’s resources, that is crewudand fleet of vehicles. However, the potential of ITS application to transitudsystem goes further than the efficient management of the fleet of vehicles. Inudfact, information on the real-time actual network state, if communicated toudtravelers, may be an effective tool for improving quality and effectiveness ofudservices and, hence, for diverting people to PT modes. In this paper, we focusudon Advanced Public Transportation Information System (APTIS) deployingudshared en-route descriptive information. The case study of the city of Naplesud(Italy) is analyzed. Here PT travelers have reacted positively to being providedudinformation on waiting time at stops and have expressed great interest inudreceiving additional information such as passenger occupancy of futureudvehicles. The latter information can be efficiently obtained by means of audmodeling framework simulating travelers path choice and the way in whichudthey propagate over the network, as well as Origin-Destination (OD) traveluddemand pattern. Such a modeling framework is described in this paper. This isudbased on the schedule based approach and simulates within-day dynamics inudtransit networks, on both the demand and supply side. Preliminary applicationsudto a small-scale example network are also presented in the paper.
机译:大多数ITS在公交系统上的应用都是针对公共交通(PT)运营商的有效管理,即乘员车队。但是,ITS在交通运输系统中的应用潜力远不止于对车队的有效管理。实际上,有关实时实际网络状态的信息(如果传达给udvelader)可能是一种有效的工具,可以提高udservice的质量和有效性,从而使人们转向PT模式。在本文中,我们重点讨论 udon高级公共交通信息系统(APTIS)部署 udshare的路途描述信息。分析了那不勒斯 ud(意大利)市的案例研究。在这里,PT旅行者对提供停车等待时间的信息反应积极,并表示对接收其他信息(例如,未来乘用车的乘客人数)非常感兴趣。可以通过模拟旅行者路径选择及其在网络上传播的方式以及始发地(OD)传播需求模式的udmodeling框架来有效地获取后一信息。本文描述了这种建模框架。这是基于udp的基于计划的方法,它模拟了需求和供应双方在udtransit网络中的日内动态。本文还介绍了小型示例网络的初步应用。

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  • 作者

    COPPOLA P; ROSATI L;

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  • 年度 2004
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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