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Nonparametric estimation of multivariate distribution function for truncated and censored lifetime data

机译:截断和截断终身数据的多变量分布函数的非参数估计

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摘要

In this article we consider a number of models for the statistical datageneration in different areas of insurance, including life, pension andnon-life insurance. Insurance statistics are usually truncated and censored,and often are multidimensional. There are algorithms for estimating thedistribution function for such data but they are applicable for one-dimensionalcase. The most effective of them are implemented, for example, in SAS system.We propose a nonparametric estimation of the distribution function formultidimensional truncated-censored data in the form of quasi-empiricaldistribution and a simple iterative algorithm for it is calculating. Theaccuracy of estimating the distribution function was verified by the MonteCarlo method. A comparative analysis of the quasi-empirical distribution withalternative estimates showed that in the one-dimensional case the proposedestimate almost coincides with the estimates calculated using the HPSEVERITYprocedure, which is a part of SAS ETS. We did not make the comparative analysisin the multidimensional case due to the lack of analogues of such algorithms.But our algorithm has passed years of testing in the valuation of employeesliabilities in accordance with IAS 19 (Employee benefits). As an example, thearticle provides an assessment of the joint function of distribution of workersage and seniority of a large Russian energy enterprise. The proposed estimatescan also be used in other areas, such as medicine, biology, demography,reliability, etc.
机译:在本文中,我们考虑了许多统计数据库的模型在不同的保险领域,包括生命,养老金和人寿保险。保险统计数据通常被截断并审查,并且通常是多维的。有用于估计此类数据的分组功能的算法,但它们适用于一维表。例如,它们的最有效地实现了SAS Systems.We提出了以准仿制性的形式的分布函数兼容截断的数据的非参数估计,并且其计算了简单的迭代算法。估计分布函数的TheAccuracy通过Montecarlo方法验证。对准估计的准经验分布的比较分析表明,在一维案例中,预测几乎与使用HPSeverityProcedure计算计算的估计,这是SAS ETS的一部分。由于缺乏此类算法的类似物,我们没有使比较分析。但是,我们的算法根据IAS 19(员工福利)通过了多年的员工债权估价测试。作为一个例子,Thearticle提供了对大型俄罗斯能源企业的工人和资历分配的联合作用的评估。拟议的估计也可用于其他领域,例如药物,生物学,人口,可靠性等。

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