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The 2013 severe haze over southern Hebei, China: model evaluation, source apportionment, and policy implications

机译:2013年中国河北南部的严重雾霾:模型评估,资源分配和政策含义

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摘要

Extremely severe and persistent haze occurred in January 2013 over easternand northern China. The record-breaking high concentrations of fineparticulate matter (PM) of more than 700 μg m onhourly average and the persistence of the episodes have raised widespread,considerable public concerns. During that period, 7 of the top 10 pollutedcities in China were within the Hebei Province. The three cities in southernHebei (Shijiazhuang, Xingtai, and Handan) have been listed as the top threepolluted cities according to the statistics for the first half of the year2013. In this study, the Mesoscale Modeling System Generation 5 (MM5) and theModels-3/Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system are appliedto simulate the 2013 severe winter regional hazes in East Asia and northernChina at horizontal grid resolutions of 36 and 12 km, respectively, usingthe Multi-resolution Emission Inventory for China (MEIC). The sourcecontributions of major source regions and sectors to PMconcentrations in the three most polluted cities in southern Hebei arequantified by aiming at the understanding of the sources of the severe hazepollution in this region, and the results are compared with December 2007,the haziest month in the period 2001–2010. Model evaluation againstmeteorological and air quality observations indicates an overall acceptableperformance and the model tends to underpredict PM and coarseparticulate matter (PM) concentrations during the extremely pollutedepisodes. The MEIC inventory is proven to be a good estimation in terms oftotal emissions of cities but uncertainties exist in the spatial allocationsof emissions into fine grid resolutions within cities. The sourceapportionment shows that emissions from northern Hebei and theBeijing-Tianjin city cluster are two major regional contributors to thepollution in January 2013 in Shijiazhuang, compared with those from Shanxiand northern Hebei for December 2007. For Xingtai and Handan, the emissionsfrom northern Hebei and Henan are important. The industrial and domesticsources are the most significant local contributors, and the domestic andagricultural emissions from Shandong and Henan are non-negligible regionalsources, especially for Xingtai and Handan. Even in the top two haziestmonths (i.e., January 2013 and December 2007), a large fraction of PMin the three cities may originate from quite different regional sources.These results indicate the importance of establishing a regional jointframework of policymaking and action system to effectively mitigate airpollution in this area, not only over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area, butalso surrounding provinces such as Henan, Shandong, and Shanxi.
机译:2013年1月,中国东部和北部发生了极其严重和持续的霾。每小时平均平均破纪录的高浓度细颗粒物质(PM)超过700μgm,并且这种现象的持续性引起了广泛,相当大的公众关注。在此期间,中国十大污染城市中有七个位于河北省。根据2013年上半年的统计数据,河北南部的三个城市(石家庄,邢台和邯郸)被列为污染最严重的三个城市。在本研究中,应用中尺度建模系统第5代(MM5)和Models-3 /社区多尺度空气质量(CMAQ)建模系统,以36和12 km的水平网格分辨率模拟了2013年东亚和中国北方冬季严峻的区域霾分别使用“中国多分辨率排放清单”(MEIC)。通过了解河北地区严重雾霾污染的来源,量化了河北南部三个污染最严重城市的主要污染源地区和部门对PM浓度的来源贡献,并将结果与​​2007年12月(雾霾最严重的月份)进行了比较。 2001-2010年。针对气象和空气质量观测值进行的模型评估表明总体可接受的性能,并且该模型在极端污染的过程中往往会低估PM和粗颗粒物(PM)的浓度。事实证明,MEIC清单对于城市总排放量是一个很好的估计,但是在城市内部精细划分网格的排放空间分配中存在不确定性。污染源分布显示,相比于2007年12月山西和河北北部的污染,河北北部和京津城市群的排放是2013年1月石家庄污染的两个主要区域贡献。邢台和邯郸的河北北部的排放是重要。工业和家庭来源是当地的主要贡献者,山东和河南的家庭和农业排放量是不可忽略的区域性来源,尤其是邢台和邯郸。即使在前两个最阴霾的月份(即2013年1月和2007年12月),三个城市中的大部分PM可能源自完全不同的区域来源。这些结果表明,建立区域决策和行动系统联合框架以有效缓解风险的重要性该地区的空气污染不仅在京津冀地区,而且在河南,山东和山西等周边省份也是如此。

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