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Optimal premium pricing strategies for nonlife products in competitive insurance markets

机译:竞争性保险市场中非寿险产品的最优保费定价策略

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摘要

Non-life insurance pricing depends on different costs including claim and business acquisition costs, management expenses and other parameters such as margin for fluctuations in claims experience, expected profits etc. Nevertheless, in a competitive insurance market environment, company's premium should respond to changes in the level of premiums being offered by competitors. In this thesis, two major issues are being investigated. Primarily, it is explored how a company's optimal strategy can be determined in a competitive market and secondly a connection between this strategy and market's competition is established. More specifically, two functional equations for the volume of business are proposed. In the first place, the volume of business function is related to the past year's experience, the average premium of the market, the company's premium and a stochastic disturbance. Thus, an optimal premium strategy which maximizes the total expected linear discounted utility of company's wealth over a finite time horizon is defined analytically and endogenously. In the second place, the volume of business function is enriched with company's reputation, for the first time according to the author's knowledge. Moreover, the premium elasticity and reputation elasticity of the volume of business are taking into consideration. Thus, an optimal premium strategy which maximizes the total expected linear discounted utility of company's wealth over a finite time horizon is calculated and for some special cases analytical solutions are presented. Furthermore, an upper bound or a minimum premium excess strategy is found for a company with positive reputation and positive premium elasticity of the volume of business. Thirdly, the calculation of a fair premium in a competitive market is discussed. A nonlinear premium-reserve (P-R) model is presented and the premium is derived by minimizing a quadratic performance criterion concerns the present value of the reserve. The reserve is a stochastic equation, which includes an additive random nonlinear function of the state, premium and not necessarily Gaussian noise which is independently distributed in time, provided only that the mean value and the covariance of the random function is zero and a quadratic function of the state, premium and other parameters, respectively. In this quadratic representation of the covariance function, new parameters are implemented and enriched further the previous linear models, such as the income insurance elasticity of demand, the number of insured and the inflation in addition to the company's reputation. Interestingly, for the very first time, the derived optimal premium in a competitive market environment is also depended on the company's reserve among the other parameters. In each chapter numerical applications show the applicability of the proposed models and their results are further explained and analyzed. Finally, suggestions for further research and summary of the conclusions complete the thesis.
机译:非寿险的定价取决于不同的成本,包括索赔和业务收购成本,管理费用以及其他参数,例如索赔经验波动幅度,预期利润等。尽管如此,在竞争激烈的保险市场环境中,公司的保费应应对竞争对手提供的保费水平。本文研究了两个主要问题。首先,探讨如何在竞争性市场中确定公司的最佳战略,其次,建立该战略与市场竞争之间的联系。更具体地说,提出了两个针对业务量的函数方程。首先,业务功能的数量与过去的经验,市场的平均溢价,公司的溢价和随机扰动有关。因此,通过分析和内生定义了一种最优溢价策略,该策略可以在有限的时间范围内最大化公司财富的总预期线性折现效用。其次,根据作者的知识,业务功能的数量首次增加了公司的声誉。此外,还考虑了业务量的溢价弹性和声誉弹性。因此,计算了一种最优保费策略,该策略在有限的时间范围内最大化了公司财富的总预期线性折现效用,并针对某些特殊情况提出了分析解决方案。此外,对于信誉良好且业务量具有正溢价弹性的公司,可以找到上限或最低溢价策略。第三,讨论了在竞争市场中公平溢价的计算。提出了非线性溢价准备金(P-R)模型,并通过最小化与储备金现值有关的二次绩效标准来推导溢价。该储备是一个随机方程,其中包括状态的加性随机非线性函数,溢价(不一定是高斯噪声),​​该函数随时间独立分布,前提是随机函数的均值和协方差为零,并且二次函数状态,溢价和其他参数的分别。在协方差函数的这种二次表示中,新的参数得以实现并进一步丰富了先前的线性模型,例如需求的收入保险弹性,被保险人数和通货膨胀,以及公司的声誉。有趣的是,在竞争激烈的市场环境中,导出的最优溢价还首次取决于公司的储备金以及其他参数。在每一章中,数值应用都表明了所提出模型的适用性,并进一步解释和分析了其结果。最后,提出了进一步研究的建议和结论的总结。

著录项

  • 作者

    Passalidou E;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2000
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
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