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Nuclear energy: boon or bane? : reassessing nuclear costs and evaluating feasibility of nuclear insurance

机译:核能:是生是死? :重新评估核成本并评估核保险的可行性

摘要

In the next 20 years, the demand for energy is anticipated to grow by 40 per cent. All available energy sources would need to be leveraged in order to satisfy the growing demand, however, in reality it does not happen. The fossil fuels are considered for a gradual phase-out and the likelihood of a massive expansion of renewable energy is also doubtful. The outlook for nuclear energy is gloomy due to people’s concern that it is not safe and that a nuclear disaster would cause severe damage. While the previous studies support the above, several new studies suggest the opposite. This paper assesses the cost of a nuclear disaster through a hypothesized nuclear disaster at Olkiluoto-3 power plant in Finland and finds that the previously reported nuclear costs might be overstated. Furthermore, this study analyses the international third party liability laws on nuclear energy and concludes that they have been consistently failing. Finally, this study finds that insuring against a nuclear disaster is feasible but currently not manageable. Based on the findings, this paper derives eight implications for the consideration of associated stakeholders and urges for a constructive discussion.
机译:在未来的20年中,对能源的需求预计将增长40%。为了满足不断增长的需求,将需要利用所有可用的能源,但是实际上并没有发生。化石燃料被认为是逐步淘汰的,可再生能源大规模扩张的可能性也令人怀疑。核能的前景令人沮丧,原因是人们担心核能不安全,核灾难会造成严重破坏。尽管先前的研究支持上述观点,但一些新的研究却相反。本文通过在芬兰的Olkiluoto-3电厂进行的假设性核灾难评估了核灾难的成本,并发现先前报道的核成本可能被夸大了。此外,本研究分析了国际上有关核能的第三方责任法律,并得出结论认为它们一直在失败。最后,这项研究发现,针对核灾难进行保险是可行的,但目前尚无法解决。基于这些发现,本文得出了八个相关利益相关者考虑的含义,并敦促进行建设性讨论。

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