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Natural resource depletion and the resource curse

机译:自然资源枯竭与资源诅咒

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摘要

This thesis studies the relationship between natural resources and economic wealth, in twoparts. Previous studies have found a negative relationship between natural resources andeconomic wealth, a phenomenon known as the curse of natural resources. Later studiesreject the resource curse, in its simplest form, as their findings show a positive relationshipwhen measuring economic wealth by GDP levels instead of growth. The argumentis that the inclusion of initial GDP, when using GDP growth as measurement, will resultin biased estimates due to the short time horizon. However, a third group of studiesadvocates the existence of a resource curse conditional upon institutional quality. In thiscase, resource endowment only affects the economic welfare negatively if the quality ofinstitutions is sufficiently bad.In this thesis the measurement of economic wealth is further expanded. Taking intoaccount that extraction of resources is a negative flow of the nation’s wealth gives abetter understating of the change in welfare, and removes some of the positive bias ofexploiting natural resources on economic wealth. An empirical analysis, utilizing data ona total of 263 countries in year 2000, is conducted to find whether the resource curse isstill rejected when including depletion of natural resources to the analysis. None of theestimation methods or model specifications in this thesis are able to confirm the existenceof a resource curse, and in its simplest form the rejection is supported. Also theconditional resource curse is rejected by the data material, meaning that countries withpoor institutions do not seem to have a more negative, or less positive, impact of naturalresources on GDP levels adjusted for depletion of natural resources than countries withgood institutions. However, be aware of the limitations of the data, in particular theabsence of a truly exogenous variable of resource endowment.
机译:本文分两部分研究自然资源与经济财富之间的关系。先前的研究发现自然资源与经济财富之间存在负相关关系,这种现象被称为自然资源的诅咒。后来的研究以最简单的形式拒绝了资源诅咒,因为他们的发现表明,当通过GDP而非增长来衡量经济财富时,两者之间存在正相关关系。有论点是,当使用GDP增长作为度量标准时,由于时间跨度短,因此将初始GDP包括在内会导致估计偏差。但是,第三组研究主张以机构质量为条件的资源诅咒的存在。在这种情况下,资源end赋只会在制度质量足够差的情况下才对经济福利产生负面影响。本文进一步扩大了经济财富的计量范围。考虑到资源的开采是国家财富的负向流动,这更好地低估了福利的变化,并消除了将自然资源用于经济财富的一些积极偏见。进行了一项经验分析,利用2000年总共263个国家的数据,当将自然资源枯竭纳入分析时,是否仍然拒绝了资源诅咒。本文中没有一种估计方法或模型规范能够确定资源诅咒的存在,并且以最简单的形式支持拒绝。同样,有条件的资源诅咒也被数据资料所拒绝,这意味着制度较差的国家似乎对自然资源对GDP进行了调整(根据自然资源耗竭而调整)的负面或正面影响较小。但是,请注意数据的局限性,尤其是缺少真正的资源variable赋变量。

著录项

  • 作者

    Stokke Linda;

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  • 年度 2015
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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