Model Documentation Report: Macroeconomic Activity Module (MAM) of the National Energy Modeling System, January 2002

摘要

This report documents the objectives, analytical approach, and development of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) Macroeconomic Activity Module (MAM) used to develop the Annual Energy Outlook for 2002(AEO2002). The report catalogues and describes the module assumptions, computations, methodology, and parameter estimation techniques. This document serves three purposes. First, it is a reference document providing a description of the NEMS MAM used for the AEO2002 production runs for model analysts, users, and the public. Second, this report meets the legal requirement of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2). Third, it facilitates continuity inmodel development by providing documentation from which energy analysts can undertake model enhancements, data updates, and parameter refinements as future projects.