Summary of 1988 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity and Verification of Author's Seasonal Forecast

摘要

The tropical cyclone (TC) activity which occurred in the Atlantic Basin during 1988 is summarized, and the author's seasonal forecast of TC activity that was issued in late May is verified. This forecast was based on the author's previous research and new research which relates seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity to: (1) the El Nino; (2) the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation of equatorial 30 mb and 50 mb stratospheric winds; (3) Caribbean Basin-Gulf of Mexico Sea Level Pressure Anomaly in spring and early summer; and (4) lower latitude Caribbean Basin 200 mb zonal wind anomaly in June and July in non-El Nino seasons.