Risk-based versus deterministic explosives safety criteria

摘要

The Department of Defense Explosives Safety Board (DDESB) is actively considering ways to apply risk-based approaches in its decision-making processes. As such, an understanding of the impact of converting to risk-based criteria is required. The objectives of this project are to examine the benefits and drawbacks of risk-based criteria and to define the impact of converting from deterministic to risk-based criteria. Conclusions will be couched in terms that allow meaningful comparisons of deterministic and risk-based approaches. To this end, direct comparisons of the consequences and impacts of both deterministic and risk-based criteria at selected military installations are made. Deterministic criteria used in this report are those in DoD 6055.9-STD, 'DoD Ammunition and Explosives Safety Standard.' Risk-based criteria selected for comparison are those used by the government of Switzerland, 'Technical Requirements for the Storage of Ammunition (TLM 75).' The risk-based criteria used in Switzerland were selected because they have been successfully applied for over twenty-five years.