General Circulation Variability, Medium to Long-Range Forecasting, and Energy Industry Related Applications. Final Report, 1 January 1983-31 December 1985

摘要

Progress is reported on: establishment of a data base of Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) in North Atlantic and North Pacific and of atmospheric data at constant pressure levels; diagnostic planetary wave patterns on prolonged weather and/or short-term climate anomalies;numerical modeling experiments, involving the application of a simple General Circulation Model (GCM) to an assessment of climate-controlling teleconnections; long-range forecasting tests, involving teleconnections between surface anomalies and planetary wave pattern anomalies; forecast risk assessments, estimating the confidence level to be placed on a long-range forecast; energy-industry related forecasting applications, such as estimates of electric power demands; and user-friendly forecast output design which would allow easy dissemination of forecast products. (ERA citation 11:011861)