Systems Archetypes for Military Dynamic Decision Making (Archetypes de systemes pour une prise de decision dynamique dans le domaine militaire).

摘要

The complex and dynamic nature of operations other than war (OOW) (e.g., peace support, the 3 block war concept) in which Canada and allied nations are increasingly involved requires Canadian Forces (CF) officers to call upon high level dynamic decision making (DDM) skills to an unprecedented degree, especially at the strategic and operational levels. One possible method of improving the DDM skills of CF personnel is the application of 'systems thinking', in particular, the possibility that a limited number of recurring patterns (archetypes) can be used to explain all military situations and thus aid DDM. If successful, this approach would enable the CF to achieve its objectives efficiently with minimal unexpected outcomes (e.g. second- and third- order effects). This work looked into the applicability of archetypes for training DDM, through analyzing and modeling military history scenarios. The applicability of existing archetypes is discussed along with suggestions concerning new archetypes that apply to military scenarios.