点击此处 ,将本页翻译成中文
将本页翻译成中文
您现在的位置:首页> 美国政府科技报告 >文献详情
【6h】

Discord or 'Harmonious Society': China in 2030

【摘要】 For more than 5,000 of the 6,000 years of recorded history China has been the preeminent nation of our planet. While the past two centuries have seen the dominance of the West over the 'Middle Kingdom,' present trends suggest that this dominance is coming to an end. With its ancient cultural roots intact, the government of China, regarded by many of its people as having a 'mandate of heaven,' is leading China into the future at almost blinding speed. Within the time frame covered in this monograph China will supplant the United States as the greatest economic power on Earth. While its military capabilities are expected to lag slightly behind, by 2030 China will be, for all practical purposes, a peer of the United States in terms of its ability to influence interactions within the nation-state system. The Chinese predilection for indirect methods of handling conflict suggests that, should conflict between the two nations occur the United States may be faced with challenges for which it is not well prepared. Further, the usual Department of Defense (DOD) myopic focus on the present may be blinding decision makers to the challenges of tomorrow. That China will be an adversary is not a foregone conclusion. Neither is its friendship. While this study concludes that it is China's intent to seek mutually beneficial relations with the West, internal forces have the potential to drive China toward conflict. Should this occur, the most likely outcome would be a proxy war where US and Chinese interests could clash. What is certain is that whatever the actions of China in 2030 the United States must be prepared to handle the challenges these actions present.

【作者】 Geis, I. J.; Caine, S. E.; Donaldson, E. F.; Holt, B. D.; Sandfry, R. A.;

【作者单位】 ;

【年(卷),期】2011(),

【年度】2011

【页码】1-150

【总页数】150

【原文格式】PDF

【正文语种】eng

【中图分类】T;

【关键词】China ;Foreign policy ;Economic development ;Government(Foreign) ;History ;Decision making ;Economics ;Demography ;Military capabilities ;Conflict ;Power ;Military modernization ;National security ;Political science ;United states ;Nations ;Department of defense ;Warfare;

【原文服务方】国家工程技术数字图书馆

联系方式:18141920177 (微信同号)

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号