Uncertainty, Intelligence, and IPB: The Role of the Intelligence Officer in Shaping and Synchronizing the Operational Battlefield.

摘要

This paper examines an analytical process which may assist in shaping and synchronizing the battlefield at the operational and joint levels. The process, known as Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield (IPB), has been employed with success by the U.S. Army at its tactical level for nearly a decade. IPB provides a road map of sorts for intelligence officers to formulate analysis; direct intelligence collection; frame time and space considerations; and facilitate staff synchronization. This paper examines its applicability at the operational level and in support of joint operations. It includes a brief description of the basic IPB methodology, compares traditional intelligence estimates with IPB-derived assessments, and addresses IPB's suitability in two areas: support to air operations and maritime support of land operations. In addition, the paper discusses the present state of joint intelligence practices vis-a-vis current JCS publications and closes with a recommendation that an IPB-type process be developed for joint intelligence operations.