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De se belief and rational choice

机译:信念和理性选择

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The Sleeping Beauty puzzle has dramatized the divisive question of how de se beliefs should be integrated into formal theories of rational belief change. In this paper, I look ahead to a related question: how should de se beliefs be integrated into formal theories of rational choice? I argue that standard decision theoretic frameworks fail in special cases of de se uncertainty, like Sleeping Beauty. The nature of the failure reveals that sometimes rational choices are determined independently of one's credences in the kinds of 'narrow' de se propositions that Sleepy Beauty has set in relief. Consequently, in addition to pinpointing a failure of standard decision theoretic frameworks, this result casts doubt on a large class of strategies for determining principles for the rationally updating de se beliefs in cases like Sleeping Beauty, and also calls into question the importance of making such a determination at all.
机译:“睡美人”难题戏剧化了一个分歧性问题,即应如何将固有信念纳入理性信念变化的正式理论中。在本文中,我期待着一个相关的问题:将这些信念如何纳入理性选择的形式理论中?我认为标准决策理论框架在诸如“睡美人”这样的本质不确定性的特殊情况下会失败。失败的本质表明,有时候理性选择是独立于一个人的意愿而确定的,而这种选择是沉睡美人缓解的那种“狭义”的命题。因此,除了指出标准决策理论框架的失误之外,这一结果还使人们对一类用于确定合理地更新诸如“睡美人”等案件中的固有信念的原则的策略产生了怀疑,并且使人们质疑采取这种策略的重要性。一个决心。

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