Construction and simulation on stock price forecasting model based on fundamental analysis and technical analysis

摘要

At present, the residential numerous researchers on the relationship between the Chinese stock business sector and large scale economy have carried on the exact examination. They utilize an assortment of strategies, a few conclusions. Study on this topic, most importantly, on the current exploration and examination on different perspectives. On this premise, the creator select sensible macroeconomic variables for shares index investigation and displaying. As the observational investigation, the creator in view of the granger causality test in econometrics and drive response function examination and fundamental investigation techniques to check this model. This recommends china's stock business sector is profoundly delicate to the nation's industrial production. Money supply, inflation, and exchange rates are different determinants of china's stock index yet to a lesser degree than industrial production. The study found that the macroeconomic variables involving industrial production, inflation, money supply, and exchange rate are cointegrated on the long keep running with stock business sector costs. These discoveries have suggestions for the strategy producers as in any adjustments in the macroeconomic approach ought to think about the effect of such changes on the stock business sector. This paper constructs the overall research on the model and conducts experimental analysis.