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Impact of Investment Openness on National External Wealth: Based on Valuation Effects Perspective

机译:投资开放对国民外部财富的影响——基于估值效应视角

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In recent years, the rise of investment protectionism has led to the decline of investment openness all over the world. Based on the perspective of valuation effects which affects changes in national external wealth, we carry out empirical analysis and find that investment openness has inhibitory effect on national external wealth in the short term but promotes it in the lag period. Furthermore, we use the open economy macroeconomic theory (NOEM) to construct DSGE model and find that reducing the degree of investment openness will lead to the rise of domestic investment asset prices and produce positive valuation effects, which will lead to the short term increase of national external wealth. However, this effect has poor persistence. In the long run, the reduction of openness will hinder transnational investment, reduce the income of transnational investment, and eventually lead to the deterioration of national external wealth. The DSGE model we constructed can be applicable for solving some problems for open economic policy. From the conclusion we have acquired, it is indicated that nations who want to maintain the steady growth of the external wealth should continue to improve investment openness and international investment environment, alleviate investment information asymmetry, and avert increasing investment protectionism.
机译:近年来,投资保护主义的抬头导致全球投资开放度下降。基于影响国民对外财富变化的估值效应的视角,开展实证分析发现,投资开放在短期内对国民对外财富具有抑制作用,但在滞后期对国民对外财富有促进作用。此外,利用开放经济宏观经济理论(NOEM)构建DSGE模型,发现降低投资开放程度将导致国内投资资产价格上涨并产生正估值效应,从而导致国家外部财富的短期增加。但是,这种效果的持久性很差。从长远来看,开放程度的降低将阻碍跨国投资,减少跨国投资收益,最终导致国家外部财富的恶化。我们构建的DSGE模型可以适用于解决开放经济政策的一些问题。从我们得到的结论可以看出,希望保持外部财富稳定增长的国家应继续改善投资开放和国际投资环境,缓解投资信息不对称,避免投资保护主义抬头。

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