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Analysis of the Profile of the Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Brazil

机译:巴西温室气体排放概况分析

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The number of debates on sustainability and the emission of gases (GHG), that potentiate the greenhouse effect, have grown in recent years, mainly regarding structural changes in the organizational dynamics of society. Particularly in Brazil, which has an extensive territorial area and native vegetation, emission of greenhouse gases is responsible for harmful socio-environmental effects both externally and internally to the country. Thereby, this study aimed to characterize the GHG in Brazil and identify which sustainable factors influence GHG emissions and how these factors correlate with the variations in temperature between 1990 and 2022. For that, multiple linear regression models were used to develop the regression model and canonical correlation analysis to verify how the adjusted factors behaved with the temperature in this period. The results of this study show that the four adjusted indicators are of economic origin and closely related to the type of economic production in Brazil. Each indicator has a similar correlation with temperature variations. This GHG profile helps public decision makers gain an overview, particularly in relation to the drastic temperature changes and current weather conditions. It is expected that this work will have theoretical implications for a new line of research to be deepened, which can develop practices that allow public managers to plan how to reduce the greenhouse gases indicators analyzed in this research. Therefore this study can contribute as a research tool in the control of greenhouse gas emissions in Brazil.
机译:近年来,关于可持续性和气体排放(GHG)的辩论数量有所增加,这些辩论加剧了温室效应,主要是关于社会组织动态的结构变化。特别是在拥有广阔领土和原生植被的巴西,温室气体的排放对该国的外部和内部都造成了有害的社会环境影响。因此,本研究旨在描述巴西的温室气体特征,并确定哪些可持续因素会影响温室气体排放,以及这些因素与 1990 年至 2022 年间的温度变化有何关联。为此,使用多个线性回归模型来开发回归模型和典型相关分析,以验证调整后的因子在该时期与温度的关系。本研究结果表明,这4项调整后的指标均具有经济来源,与巴西的经济生产类型密切相关。每个指标都与温度变化具有相似的相关性。这种温室气体概况有助于公众决策者获得总体了解,特别是与剧烈的温度变化和当前的天气状况有关。预计这项工作将对深化新的研究方向产生理论意义,该研究可以开发实践,使公共管理人员能够计划如何减少本研究中分析的温室气体指标。因此,这项研究可以作为巴西温室气体排放控制的研究工具。

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