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The effect of regional changes in anthropogenic aerosols on rainfall of the East Asian Summer Monsoon

机译:人为气溶胶区域变化对东亚夏季风降水的影响

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The response of East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) precipitation to long term changes in regional anthropogenic aerosols (sulphate and black carbon) is explored in an atmospheric general circulation model, the atmospheric component of the UK High-Resolution Global Environment Model v1.2 (HiGAM). Separately, sulphur dioxide (SO_2) and black carbon (BC) emissions in 1950 and 2000 over East Asia are used to drive model simulations, while emissions are kept constant at year 2000 level outside this region. The response of the EASM is examined by comparing simulations driven by aerosol emissions representative of 1950 and 2000. The aerosol radiative effects are also determined using an off-line radiative transfer model. During June, July and August, the EASM was not significantly changed as either SO_2 or BC emissions increased from 1950 to 2000 levels. However, in September, precipitation is significantly decreased by 26.4% for sulphate aerosol and 14.6% for black carbon when emissions are at the 2000 level. Over 80% of the decrease is attributed to changes in convective precipitation. The cooler land surface temperature over China in September (0.8 °C for sulphate and 0.5 °C for black carbon) due to increased aerosols reduces the surface thermal contrast that supports the EASM circulation. However, mechanisms causing the surface temperature decrease in September are different between sulphate and BC experiments. In the sulphate experiment, the sulphate direct and the 1st indirect radiative effects contribute to the surface cooling. In the BC experiment, the BC direct effect is the main driver of the surface cooling, however, a decrease in low cloud cover due to the increased heating by BC absorption partially counteracts the direct effect. This results in a weaker land surface temperature response to BC changes than to sulphate changes. The resulting precipitation response is also weaker, and the responses of the monsoon circulation are different for sulphate and black carbon experiments. This study demonstrates a mechanism that links regional aerosol emission changes to the precipitation changes of the EASM, and it could be applied to help understand the future changes in EASM precipitation in CMIP5 simulations.
机译:在大气总体环流模型(英国高分辨率全球环境模型v1.2的大气成分)中探索了东亚夏季风(EASM)降水对区域人为气溶胶(硫酸盐和黑碳)的长期变化的响应。 HiGAM)。分别使用1950和2000年东亚的二氧化硫(SO_2)和黑碳(BC)排放量来进行模型模拟,而在该地区以外的排放量保持在2000年的水平上。通过比较代表1950年和2000年的气溶胶排放驱动的模拟来检查EASM的响应。还使用离线辐射传递模型确定气溶胶的辐射效应。在6月,7月和8月期间,由于SO_2或BC排放量从1950年的水平增加到2000年的水平,EASM并未发生明显变化。但是,在9月份,当排放量达到2000年水平时,硫酸盐气溶胶的降水量显着下降了26.4%,黑碳的降水量显着下降了14.6%。超过80%的减少归因于对流降水的变化。由于气溶胶增加,9月中国陆地表面温度降低(硫酸盐为0.8°C,黑碳为0.5°C),这降低了支持EASM循环的地表热反差。然而,硫酸盐法和卑诗省法实验导致9月表面温度下降的机理不同。在硫酸盐实验中,硫酸盐的直接和第一间接辐射效应有助于表面冷却。在BC实验中,BC直接效应是表面冷却的主要驱动力,但是,由于BC吸收增加的热量导致低云量的减少部分抵消了直接效应。这导致对地表温度变化的响应比对硫酸盐变化的响应弱。产生的降水响应也较弱,并且对于硫酸盐和黑碳实验,季风循环的响应也不同。这项研究表明了一种将区域气溶胶排放变化与EASM降水变化联系起来的机制,并且可以用于帮助在CMIP5模拟中了解EASM降水的未来变化。

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