首页>
外国专利>
System and Method for physically based forecasting of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation
System and Method for physically based forecasting of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation
展开▼
机译:基于物理的东亚夏季风降水预报系统和方法
展开▼
页面导航
摘要
著录项
相似文献
摘要
The present invention relates to an objective method to focus on a physical phenomenon affecting interannual variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation and to predict East Asian monsoon precipitation by using surface sea temperature (SST), which is a correlated boundary force. A prediction system comprises an EOF analysis unit, which performs EOF analysis of East Asia and determines air mass arrangement correlated to July monsoon precipitation and a front; an area selecting unit, which shows a correlation map of global sea surface temperatures by a diagram and selects a high correlation area by using preceding three time series from the EOF analysis; a time determining unit, which determines four areas and a time physically correlated to East Asian monsoon among high correlation areas; and a prediction factor re-determination unit, which re-determines a prediction factor in order to predict East Asian July precipitation; and a statistical model building unit, which builds a statistical model by using a multiple regression equation.
展开▼