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Summary and Epilogue

机译:总结与结语

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摘要

In any scientific discipline that deals with difficult-to-understand, seemingly inexact phenomena, there is a certain "status quo" that is accepted within the discipline. This status quo is a theory—or set of theories— that tries to explain those phenomena. Over time, a general pattern emerges that goes along the following way: Initially, the status quo is the generally accepted theory that is believed by most people within the discipline. This theory develops a certain "track record" for explaining the phenomena, but the theory eventually starts to fail. This happens because "exceptions to the rule" inevitably pop up, these exceptions slowly accumulate, and then they become so unwieldy that the theory breaks down. Then, "revolutionary" members of that discipline analyze these "exceptions" and apply them to construct a new paradigm. The new paradigm attempts to better explain the existing phenomena. Slowly, the original theory collapses.
机译:在处理难以理解,看似不精确的现象的任何科学学科中,该学科都接受某种“现状”。这种现状是试图解释这些现象的一种理论或一组理论。随着时间的流逝,出现了一种大致遵循以下方式的模式:最初,现状是该学科中大多数人都相信的普遍接受的理论。该理论为解释现象发展了一定的“往绩”,但该理论最终开始失败。发生这种情况是因为不可避免地会出现“规则例外”,这些例外慢慢积累,然后变得笨拙,以至于理论崩溃了。然后,该学科的“革命”成员分析这些“例外”,并将其应用于构建新的范式。新的范式试图更好地解释现有现象。最初的理论慢慢瓦解了。

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