Mapping Dependence Between Extreme Rainfall and Storm Surge

Wu Wenyan; McInnes Kathleen; OGrady Julian; Hoeke Ron; Leonard Michael; Westra Seth

摘要

Abstract >Dependence between extreme storm surge and rainfall can have significant implications for flood risk in coastal and estuarine regions. To supplement limited observational records, we use reanalysis surge data from a hydrodynamic model as the basis for dependence mapping, providing information at a resolution of approximately 30 km along the Australian coastline. We evaluated this approach by comparing the dependence estimates from modeled surge to that calculated using historical surge records from 79 tide gauges around Australia. The results show reasonable agreement between the two sets of dependence values, with the exception of lower seasonal variation in the modeled dependence values compared to the observed data, especially at locations where there are multiple processes driving extreme storm surge. This is due to the combined impact of local bathymetry as well as the resolution of the hydrodynamic model and its meteorological inputs. Meteorological drivers were also investigated for different combinations of extreme rainfall and surge—namely rain‐only, surge‐only, and coincident extremes—finding that different synoptic patterns are responsible for each combination. The ability to supplement observational records with high‐resolution modeled surge data enables a much more precise quantification of dependence along the coastline, strengthening the physical basis for assessments of flood risk in coastal regions. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“main”> <标题类型=“main”>摘要</ title> >极端风暴浪涌和降雨之间的依赖可能对沿海和河口地区的洪水风险产生重大影响。为了补充有限的观察记录，我们使用来自流体动力学模型的Reanalysy浪涌数据作为依赖映射的基础，提供沿澳大利亚海岸线约30公里的分辨率的信息。我们通过将模型趋势与澳大利亚79个潮汐仪表的历史浪涌记录进行了计算来评估了这种方法。结果显示了两组依赖值之间的合理一致，除了模拟的依赖性值下的季节变化，与观察到的数据相比，特别是在有多个过程驾驶极端风暴涌涌的位置。这是由于局部沐浴络的综合影响以及流体动力学模型的分辨率及其气象投入。对于极端降雨和浪涌的不同组合，也调查了气象司机 - 即暴雨，飙升，并重合极端 - 发现不同的天气模式对每个组合负责。通过高分辨率建模的浪涌数据补充观察记录的能力使得能够更精确地量化沿着海岸线的依赖性，加强沿海地区洪水风险评估的物理基础。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-34643/'>《Journal of Geophysical Research, C. Oceans: JGR》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第4期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共14页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Wu Wenyan&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Wu Wenyan;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=McInnes Kathleen&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">McInnes Kathleen;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=OGrady Julian&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">OGrady Julian;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Hoeke Ron&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Hoeke Ron;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Leonard Michael&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Leonard Michael;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Westra Seth&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Westra Seth;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Department of InfrastructureUniversity of MelbourneMelbourne Vic Australia;</p> <p>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Marine and Atmospheric ResearchAspendale Vic Australia;</p> <p>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Marine and Atmospheric ResearchAspendale Vic Australia;</p> <p>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Marine and Atmospheric ResearchAspendale Vic Australia;</p> <p>School of Civil Environmental and Mining EngineeringUniversity of AdelaideAdelaide SA Australia;</p> <p>School of Civil Environmental and Mining EngineeringUniversity of AdelaideAdelaide SA Australia;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/163.html" title="地球物理学">地球物理学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=extreme events&option=203" rel="nofollow">extreme events;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=compound flood&option=203" rel="nofollow">compound flood;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=extreme rainfall&option=203" rel="nofollow">extreme rainfall;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=storm surge&option=203" rel="nofollow">storm surge;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=coastal flood risk&option=203" rel="nofollow">coastal flood risk;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=ROMS&option=203" rel="nofollow">ROMS;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：极端事件;复合洪水;极端降雨;风暴浪涌;沿海洪水风险;罗姆斯; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704025579776.html">Mapping Dependence Between Extreme Rainfall and Storm Surge</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Wu Wenyan&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Wu Wenyan,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=McInnes Kathleen&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">McInnes Kathleen,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=OGrady Julian&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">OGrady Julian,</a> <a href="/journal-foreign-34643/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">Journal of Geophysical Research, C. 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