Selective maintenance optimisation considering random common cause failures and imperfect maintenance

摘要

This article addresses a selective maintenance optimisation problem for systems subject to random common cause failures. A system is likely to suffer from several random common cause failures during a given mission. Random common cause events, which occur with a specific probability distribution, may result in the simultaneous failures of multiple elements. Because time is one of the most crucial maintenance resources, a time-based imperfect maintenance model is proposed to quantify the maintenance efficiency of each candidate maintenance action. To meet the demands of the next mission, a selective maintenance model is proposed to optimally identify a subset of maintenance activities to be performed on certain elements of a system. A genetic algorithm and Monte Carlo simulation method is presented to solve the proposed selective maintenance optimisation problem. Illustrative examples combined with detailed discussions are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model. The results show that the proposal of time-based imperfect maintenance model can yield better maintenance results, while ignoring random common cause failures in selective maintenance optimisation may produce biased maintenance decisions and system reliability.