Non-linear filtering and optimal investment under partial information for stochastic volatility models

摘要

This paper studies the question of filtering and maximizing terminal wealth from expected utility in partial information stochastic volatility models. The special feature is that the only information available to the investor is the one generated by the asset prices, and the unobservable processes will be modeled by stochastic differential equations. Using the change of measure techniques, the partial observation context can be transformed into a full information context such that coefficients depend only on past history of observed prices (filter processes). Adapting the stochastic non-linear filtering, we show that under some assumptions on the model coefficients, the estimation of the filters depend on a priori models for the trend and the stochastic volatility. Moreover, these filters satisfy a stochastic partial differential equations named "Kushner-Stratonovich equations". Using the martingale duality approach in this partially observed incomplete model, we can characterize the value function and the optimal portfolio. The main result here is that, for power and logarithmic utility, the dual value function associated to the martingale approach can be expressed, via the dynamic programming approach, in terms of the solution to a semilinear partial differential equation which depends on the filters estimate and the volatility. We illustrate our results with some examples of stochastic volatility models popular in the financial literature.