International Energy Agency Forecast Indicates Crude’s Price Slide is Temporary, as Global Supply-Demand Behavior Patterns Adjust to New Paradigm Driven by U.S. Shale Revolution

摘要

The International Energy Agency’s Medium- Term Oil Market Report 2015, issued this week, projects that a combination of “cyclical” and “structural” factors will keep the demand response to lower crude oil prices “relatively subdued,” but demand in several key oil exporters will be hurt by the revenue loss. “Nevertheless, global demand is now expected to grow slightly faster than supply capacity, causing the market to gradually tighten and the ‘call on OPEC and stocks change’ to rise from 2016 onwards.”