An Agent-Based Approach in Demographic Research: Preliminary Study on Korean Population Dynamics

摘要

In this paper, an agent-based modeling and simulation of the demographic research is presented. Different from the demographic research using microsimulation, the agent-based approach to demographic simulation is expected to provide a more scalable and flexible framework to analyze the population dynamics. While microsimulation, which is based on past statistical, is widely used in demographic study of analyzing the macroscopic changes of population, it lacks prescriptive capabilities of analyzing interactions among individuals (e.g., kinships, person-person relations) and environs (e.g., job status, incomes, education levels, cultural aspects, etc.) which may cause the population changes. The agent-based demographic simulation with Korean data conducted in this paper is expected to be the initial model for the agent-based demographic simulation, which may provide a variety of perspectives on the demographic research in the future.