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House Price Shocks, Credit Constraints and Household Indebtedness

机译:房价震荡,信贷限制和家庭债务

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We analyse the effect of housing wealth on household indebtedness in a life-cycle framework. Exploiting longitudinal household data and temporal and geographic variation in house prices, our empirical results indicate that households respond to increases in housing wealth by significantly increasing their debt. The effect is strongest for households that are moderately leveraged, highlighting the importance of collateral constraints. Furthermore, we uncover a weaker wealth effect from house price growth for households that have faced negative shocks to income or employment. Importantly, our findings are consistent with the theoretical predictions of the life-cycle model: households increase their mortgage debt, but not their unsecured credit card debt. A novel finding is that we uncover a moderate positive wealth effect on investment loans.
机译:我们分析了住房财富对生命周期框架中家庭债务的影响。 利用纵向家庭数据和时间和地理变化,我们的实证结果表明,家庭通过大大提高债务来应对住房财富的增加。 对于中度杠杆杠杆的家庭来说,效果最强,突出了抵押限制的重要性。 此外,我们揭示了对收入或就业负面冲击的家庭的房价增长较弱的财富效果。 重要的是,我们的研究结果与生命周期模式的理论预测一致:家庭增加抵押债务,但不是他们无抵押的信用卡债务。 一部小说发现是我们发现对投资贷款的适度积极的影响。

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