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A Method of Moments Estimator for Random Effect Multivariate Meta-Analysis

机译:一种用于随机效应多元荟萃分析的矩估计器方法

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摘要

Meta-analysis is a powerful approach to combine evidence from multiple studies to make inference about one or more parameters of interest, such as regression coefficients. The validity of the fixed effect model meta-analysis depends on the underlying assumption that all studies in the meta-analysis share the same effect size. In the presence of heterogeneity, the fixed effect model incorrectly ignores the between-study variance and may yield false positive results. The random effect model takes into account both within-study and between-study variances. It is more conservative than the fixed effect model and should be favored in the presence of heterogeneity. In this paper, we develop a noniterative method of moments estimator for the between-study covariance matrix in the random effect model multivariate meta-analysis. To our knowledge, it is the first such method of moments estimator in the matrix form. We show that our estimator is a multivariate extension of DerSimonian and Laird's univariate method of moments estimator, and it is invariant to linear transformations. In the simulation study, our method performs well when compared to existing random effect model multivariate meta-analysis approaches. We also apply our method in the analysis of a real data example.
机译:荟萃分析是一种强大的方法,可以结合来自多个研究的证据来推断一个或多个感兴趣的参数,例如回归系数。固定效应模型荟萃分析的有效性取决于基本假设,即荟萃分析中的所有研究均具有相同的效应量。在存在异质性的情况下,固定效应模型会错误地忽略研究之间的方差,并可能产生假阳性结果。随机效应模型同时考虑了研究内部和研究之间的差异。它比固定效应模型更为保守,在存在异质性时应受到青睐。在本文中,我们为随机效应模型多元荟萃分析中的研究间协方差矩阵开发了矩估计的非迭代方法。据我们所知,这是矩阵形式下矩估计的第一种方法。我们证明了我们的估计器是DerSimonian和Laird矩估计器的单变量方法的多元扩展,并且它对线性变换是不变的。在仿真研究中,与现有的随机效应模型多元荟萃分析方法相比,我们的方法表现良好。我们还将我们的方法应用于真实数据示例的分析中。

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