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Efficient simulated maximum likelihood estimation through explicitly parameter dependent importance sampling

机译:通过显式依赖参数的重要性抽样进行有效的模拟最大似然估计

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摘要

There exists an overall negative assessment of the performance of the simulated maximum likelihood algorithm in the statistics literature, founded on both theoretical and empirical results. At the same time, there also exist a number of highly successful applications. This paper explains the negative assessment by the coupling of the algorithm with "simple importance samplers", samplers that are not explicitly parameter dependent. The successful applications in the literature are based on explicitly parameter dependent importance samplers. Simple importance samplers may efficiently simulate the likelihood function value, but fail to efficiently simulate the score function, which is the key to efficient simulated maximum likelihood. The theoretical points are illustrated by applying Laplace importance sampling in both variants to the classic salamander mating model.
机译:基于理论和经验结果,统计文献中存在对模拟最大似然算法性能的整体负面评估。同时,还存在许多非常成功的应用程序。本文通过将算法与“简单重要性采样器”(不与参数明确相关的采样器)耦合来解释负面评估。文献中的成功应用基于显式依赖参数的重要性采样器。简单重要性采样器可以有效地模拟似然函数值,但不能有效地模拟得分函数,这是有效模拟最大似然的关键。通过在两种变体中对经典sal交配模型应用拉普拉斯重要性抽样来说明理论要点。

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