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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Econometrics >High-frequency returns, jumps and the mixture of normals hypothesis
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High-frequency returns, jumps and the mixture of normals hypothesis

机译:高频返回,跳跃和法线假设的混合

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摘要

Previous empirical studies find both evidence of jumps in asset prices and that returns standardized by 'realized volatility' are approximately standard normal. These findings appear to be contradictory. Using a sample of high-frequency returns for 20heavily traded US stocks, we show how microstructure noise distorts the standard deviation and kurtosis of returns normalized using realized variance. When returns are standardized using a recently developed realized kernel estimator, the resulting series is clearly platykurtotic and the standard normal distribution is soundly rejected. Moreover, daily returns standardized using realized bipower variation, an estimator for integrated variance that is robust to the presence of jumps, are more consistentwith the standard normal distribution. These results suggest that there is no empirical contradiction: jumps should be included in stock price models.
机译:先前的经验研究发现资产价格上涨的证据和以“已实现的波动率”标准化的回报均接近标准常态。这些发现似乎是矛盾的。使用20个交易量较大的美国股票的高频收益样本,我们显示了微观结构噪声如何扭曲标准偏差和收益率的峰度(使用已实现的方差归一化)。当使用最近开发的实现的核估计器对收益进行标准化时,所得的序列显然是platykurtotic的,并且标准正态分布被合理地拒绝了。此外,使用已实现的双权变率(对跳跃存在的鲁棒性很强的综合方差估算器)标准化的日收益率与标准正态分布更加一致。这些结果表明没有经验上的矛盾:股价模型中应包括跳跃。

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