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A vital link: Water and vegetation in the anthropocene

机译:一个重要的环节:人类世中的水和植被

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This paper argues that the interplay of water, carbon and vegetation dynamics fundamentally links some global trends in the current and conceivable future Anthropocene, such as cropland expansion, freshwater use, and climate change and its impacts. Based on a review of recent literature including geographically explicit simulation studies with the process-based LPJmL global biosphere model, it demonstrates that the connectivity of water and vegetation dynamics is vital for water security, food security and (terrestrial) ecosystem dynamics alike. The water limitation of net primary production of both natural and agricultural plants - already pronounced in many regions - is shown to increase in many places under projected climate change, though this development is partially offset by water-saving direct CO2 effects. Natural vegetation can to some degree adapt dynamically to higher water limitation, but agricultural crops usually require some form of active management to overcome it - among them irrigation, soil conservation and eventually shifts of cropland to areas that are less water-limited due to more favourable climatic conditions. While crucial to secure food production for a growing world population, such human interventions in water-vegetation systems have, as also shown, repercussions on the water cycle. Indeed, land use changes are shown to be the second-most important influence on the terrestrial water balance in recent times. Furthermore, climate change (warming and precipitation changes) will in many regions increase irrigation demand and decrease water availability, impeding rainfed and irrigated food production (if not CO2 effects counterbalance this impact - which is unlikely at least in poorly managed systems). Drawing from these exemplary investigations, some research perspectives on how to further improve our knowledge of human-water-vegetation interactions in the Anthropocene are outlined.
机译:本文认为,水,碳和植被动力学的相互作用从根本上联系了当前和可能发生的人类世的一些全球趋势,例如农田扩张,淡水利用,气候变化及其影响。基于对最近文献的回顾,包括使用基于过程的LPJmL全球生物圈模型进行的地理上明确的模拟研究,它表明水与植被动力学的联系对于水安全,粮食安全和(陆地)生态系统动力学都至关重要。自然和农业植物净初级生产的用水限制-在许多地区已经明显-在预计的气候变化下许多地方都在增加,尽管这种发展被节水的直接二氧化碳效应所部分抵消。天然植被可以在某种程度上动态适应更高的水分限制,但是农作物通常需要某种形式的主动管理来克服它-其中包括灌溉,土壤保持,最后由于更有利于农田而最终转移到水分限制较少的地区气候情况。虽然这对于确保不断增长的世界人口的粮食生产至关重要,但这种人为干预水草系统的干预也已显示出对水循环的影响。的确,近来土地使用变化是对陆地水平衡的第二重要影响。此外,气候变化(变暖和降水变化)将在许多地区增加灌溉需求并减少水的供应,从而阻碍雨养和灌溉食品的生产(如果没有CO2的作用,则可以抵消这种影响-至少在管理不善的系统中不太可能)。通过这些示例性研究,概述了有关如何进一步改善人类世间人类与水-植物相互作用的知识的一些研究观点。

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