10 Questions

摘要

Is it a mistake to use the events of the recent past as a method of predicting the future?rnOur intuition about the future is linear. But the reality of information technology is exponential, and that makes a profound difference. If I take 30 steps linearly, I get to 30. If I take 30 steps exponentially, I get to a billion.rnYou predict we'll reach a point with artificial intelligence that you call the singularity. How will that affect us?rnBy the time we get to the 2040s, we'll be able to multiply human intelligence a billion-fold. That will be a profound change that's singular in nature. Computers are going to keep getting smaller and smaller. Ultimately, they will go inside our bodies and brains and make us healthier, make us smarter. We'll be online all the time. Search engines won't wait to be asked.