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Perception, history, and science: coherence or disparity in the timing of the Little Ice Age maximum in southeast Iceland?

机译:感知,历史和科学:冰岛东南部小冰河时代最长时间的连贯性或差异性?

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摘要

In Iceland, studies that integrate local perceptions about the landscape with scientific evidence of change have been few. This article presents a case study from southeast Iceland that has two main objectives. Firstly, ethnographic data is used to explore the human dimension of the Little Ice Age through perceptions of landscape and climatic change and to describe the impacts that these changes had on life and livelihood. Secondly, the paper critically assesses the coherence of the scientific record regarding the Little Ice Age glacial maximum with evidence gained from the ethnographic survey and the local historical record. Although climatic deterioration from the seventeenth through nineteenth centuries ultimately affected farming viability, it was the interplay of climate with concomitant cultural and socio-economic factors that ensured effective strategies were emplaced to preserve life and livelihood in southeast Iceland. Furthermore, despite different trajectories of perception emanating from either the scientific or the local points of view, data from all sources are strongly coherent and point to a Little Ice Age maximum during the late eighteenth to early nineteenth centuries. This study also illustrates that sensitive landscapes can 'store memories' through the cumulative accumulation of disturbances during periods of climatic variability, eventually reaching a critical threshold and inducing landscape instability, such as occurred during the nineteenth century.
机译:在冰岛,很少有将当地对景观的看法与变化的科学证据相结合的研究。本文介绍了一个来自冰岛东南部的案例研究,该案例研究有两个主要目标。首先,人种学数据用于通过对景观和气候变化的认识来探索小冰河时代的人文维度,并描述这些变化对生活和生计的影响。其次,本文利用人种学调查和当地历史记录中的证据,对与小冰期冰川最大期有关的科学记录的一致性进行了严格的评估。尽管从17世纪到19世纪的气候恶化最终影响了农业的生存能力,但气候与伴随的文化和社会经济因素的相互作用确保了采取有效的策略来保护冰岛东南部的生命和生计。此外,尽管从科学或地方观点出发,人们的感知轨迹不同,但所有来源的数据都具有高度连贯性,并指向18世纪末至19世纪初的小冰河时代最高峰。这项研究还表明,敏感景观可以通过在气候变化时期的干扰累积来“存储记忆”,最终达到临界阈值并引发景观不稳定性(例如在19世纪发生的情况)。

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