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Bayes prediction of the regression coefficient in a finite population using balanced loss function

机译:使用平衡损失函数的有限总体回归系数的贝叶斯预测

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摘要

In this paper, we derive Bayes predictor of the finite population regression coefficient of a linear regression normal superpopulation model under Zellner's(1994) balanced loss function. Loss robustness of the Bayes predictor is investigated in terms of relative losses and relative savings loss. The results are illustrated for location superpopulation model and also for a model with diagonal covariance error matrix. Some of the well known classical predictors are found to be a limiting case of the derived Bayes predictor. Sensitivity of Bayes predictor to a possible misspecification of the loss function is examined for a hypothetical population.
机译:在本文中,我们推导了Zellner(1994)平衡损失函数下线性回归正态超种群模型的有限种群回归系数的Bayes预测因子。根据相对损失和相对储蓄损失研究了贝叶斯预测器的损失稳健性。结果说明了位置超级人口模型以及具有对角协方差误差矩阵的模型的结果。发现一些众所周知的经典预测变量是派生的贝叶斯预测变量的极限情况。对于假设的种群,检查了贝叶斯预测因子对损失函数可能的错误指定的敏感性。

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