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Simple and flexible Bayesian inferences for standardized regression coefficients

机译:标准化回归系数简单灵活的贝叶斯推广

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In statistical practice, inferences on standardized regression coefficients are often required, but complicated by the fact that they are nonlinear functions of the parameters, and thus standard textbook results are simply wrong. Within the frequentist domain, asymptotic delta methods can be used to construct confidence intervals of the standardized coefficients with proper coverage probabilities. Alternatively, Bayesian methods solve similar and other inferential problems by simulating data from the posterior distribution of the coefficients. In this paper, we present Bayesian procedures that provide comprehensive solutions for inferences on the standardized coefficients. Simple computing algorithms are developed to generate posterior samples with no autocorrelation and based on both noninformative improper and informative proper prior distributions. Simulation studies show that Bayesian credible intervals constructed by our approaches have comparable and even better statistical properties than their frequentist counterparts, particularly in the presence of collinearity. In addition, our approaches solve some meaningful inferential problems that are difficult if not impossible from the frequentist standpoint, including identifying joint rankings of multiple standardized coefficients and making optimal decisions concerning their sizes and comparisons. We illustrate applications of our approaches through examples and make sample R functions available for implementing our proposed methods.
机译:在统计实践中,通常需要对标准化回归系数的推论,但由于它们是参数的非线性功能的事实,因此标准教科书结果是根本的错误。在频率域中,渐近Delta方法可用于构造具有适当覆盖概率的标准化系数的置信区间。或者,贝叶斯方法通过模拟来自系数的后部分布的数据来解决类似的和其他推理问题。在本文中,我们展示了贝叶斯程序,为标准化系数推断出全面的解决方案。开发简单的计算算法以产生后部样品,没有自相关,并且基于非信息不正当和信息的正确的特殊分布。仿真研究表明,我们的方法构建的贝叶斯可信间隔具有比其频率的常见的对应物具有可比性甚至更好的统计特性,特别是在共同性存在下。此外,我们的方法解决了一些有意义的推理问题,即常见的角度来说不是不可能的,包括识别多个标准化系数的联合排名,并提出关于其尺寸和比较的最佳决策。我们通过示例说明了我们的方法的应用,并使样本R可用于实施我们提出的方法。

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