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Simple and flexible Bayesian inferences for standardized regression coefficients

机译:用于标准回归系数的简单灵活的贝叶斯推断

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In statistical practice, inferences on standardized regression coefficients are often required, but complicated by the fact that they are nonlinear functions of the parameters, and thus standard textbook results are simply wrong. Within the frequentist domain, asymptotic delta methods can be used to construct confidence intervals of the standardized coefficients with proper coverage probabilities. Alternatively, Bayesian methods solve similar and other inferential problems by simulating data from the posterior distribution of the coefficients. In this paper, we present Bayesian procedures that provide comprehensive solutions for inferences on the standardized coefficients. Simple computing algorithms are developed to generate posterior samples with no autocorrelation and based on both noninformative improper and informative proper prior distributions. Simulation studies show that Bayesian credible intervals constructed by our approaches have comparable and even better statistical properties than their frequentist counterparts, particularly in the presence of collinearity. In addition, our approaches solve some meaningful inferential problems that are difficult if not impossible from the frequentist standpoint, including identifying joint rankings of multiple standardized coefficients and making optimal decisions concerning their sizes and comparisons. We illustrate applications of our approaches through examples and make sample R functions available for implementing our proposed methods.
机译:在统计实践中,经常需要对标准化回归系数进行推论,但由于它们是参数的非线性函数,因此变得很复杂,因此标准教科书的结果简直是错误的。在频域范围内,可以使用渐近增量法构造具有适当覆盖概率的标准化系数的置信区间。备选地,贝叶斯方法通过模拟来自系数的后验分布的数据来解决类似的和其他推论问题。在本文中,我们提出了贝叶斯程序,为标准系数的推断提供了全面的解决方案。开发了简单的计算算法来生成无自相关的后验样本,并且基于非信息性的不适当和信息性的适当先验分布。仿真研究表明,通过我们的方法构造的贝叶斯可信区间具有比其常客概率相当甚至更好的统计特性,尤其是在存在共线性的情况下。此外,我们的方法还解决了一些有意义的推论问题,这些问题从频繁主义者的角度来看都是困难的,即使不是不可能的,包括确定多个标准化系数的联合等级,并就其大小和比较做出最佳决策。我们通过示例说明了我们方法的应用,并使示例R函数可用于实现我们提出的方法。

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